← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.03+0.85vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University-1.24+1.24vs Predicted
-
3American University-2.08+1.64vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-1.63-0.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-2.85+0.73vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-1.88-1.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-2.02-2.62vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-0.03-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.85Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
-
3.24Drexel University-1.240.1%1st Place
-
4.64American University-2.080.1%1st Place
-
3.9SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
-
5.73University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
-
4.27William and Mary-1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.38University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
-
1.85Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 51.4% | 25.5% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 14.3% | 23.2% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 6.2% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Leen | 9.6% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 19.0% | 48.9% | 0.0% |
| Conor Farah | 7.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 51.4% | 25.5% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.