← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook-1.63+2.49vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-0.03-0.30vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-0.03-1.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-2.02+0.13vs Predicted
-
5American University-2.08-0.77vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-1.24-2.93vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland-2.85-1.76vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-3.80-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
-
1.7Virginia Tech-0.030.6%1st Place
-
1.7Virginia Tech-0.030.6%1st Place
-
4.13University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
-
4.23American University-2.080.1%1st Place
-
3.07Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
-
5.24University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
-
6.14William and Mary-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Leen | 11.4% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 55.8% | 27.2% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 55.8% | 27.2% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 7.4% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 15.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 5.9% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 15.3% | 25.2% | 24.2% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 33.0% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Peters | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 18.6% | 60.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.