Race 11B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tiare Sierra 17.9% 15.7% 14.5% 12.0% 10.7% 10.9% 8.0% 5.0% 3.7% 1.5%
Sidney Moyer 13.2% 13.4% 12.8% 11.5% 12.4% 10.9% 8.5% 8.2% 6.5% 2.6%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.9% 13.9% 12.3% 12.8% 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 7.0% 4.9% 2.8%
Lilly Saffer 3.5% 5.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 9.4% 12.3% 17.0% 28.8%
Laura Smith 7.3% 6.1% 6.7% 8.5% 9.8% 9.2% 10.8% 13.2% 13.5% 14.9%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 8.8% 8.2% 10.2% 10.6% 9.9% 10.0% 11.2% 10.3% 12.0% 8.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 12.6% 13.2% 13.2% 12.8% 11.2% 11.7% 9.8% 6.9% 5.6% 3.0%
Lizzie Cochran 9.5% 10.5% 10.4% 11.3% 11.8% 10.5% 11.0% 11.5% 8.6% 4.9%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.1% 5.1% 6.7% 7.4% 7.1% 9.1% 10.1% 11.8% 17.1% 19.3%
Audrey Commerford 7.0% 8.6% 8.0% 7.5% 9.3% 10.2% 10.9% 13.9% 11.2% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.