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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+0.69vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.24+0.97vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03-1.31vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.63-0.42vs Predicted
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5American University-2.08-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-1.87vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-3.80-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-2.85-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Virginia Tech-0.030.6%1st Place
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2.97Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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1.69Virginia Tech-0.030.6%1st Place
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3.58SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
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4.22American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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6.29William and Mary-3.800.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 56.5% | 26.0% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 16.3% | 26.6% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 56.5% | 26.0% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Leen | 10.2% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 6.5% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 6.0% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 22.9% | 15.3% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Peters | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 17.0% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 34.3% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.