← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-2.15+3.22vs Predicted
-
2American University-0.85+0.41vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-1.24-0.10vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-1.63-0.50vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-1.88-2.10vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-2.02-2.92vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-2.15-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
-
2.41American University-0.850.3%1st Place
-
2.9Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
-
3.5SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
-
3.9William and Mary-1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
-
4.22Virginia Tech-2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 33.7% | 26.4% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 23.2% | 21.2% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Leen | 14.5% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Farah | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.