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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+0.96vs Predicted
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2American University-0.85+0.87vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.24+0.39vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.63-0.06vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.03-3.04vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02-2.48vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.88-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
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2.87American University-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.39Drexel University-1.240.1%1st Place
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3.94SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
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1.96Virginia Tech-0.030.5%1st Place
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4.52University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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4.31William and Mary-1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 45.8% | 27.5% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 21.0% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 13.8% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Leen | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 45.8% | 27.5% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Conor Farah | 5.9% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.