Race 1A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jake Weinstein 18.7% 19.7% 14.2% 14.0% 14.4% 8.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Abe Weston 15.6% 16.4% 17.1% 15.4% 11.8% 12.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 9.4% 7.9% 10.4% 10.2% 13.9% 17.1% 14.7% 10.2% 4.6% 1.6%
Timothy Hesse 12.8% 15.2% 14.5% 17.1% 14.9% 9.7% 9.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Max Naseef 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 4.1% 5.6% 8.7% 13.1% 24.1% 33.3%
Braden Vogel 28.9% 21.2% 17.8% 13.9% 10.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Wyatt Tait 3.7% 5.0% 7.4% 9.2% 8.3% 14.4% 17.0% 16.9% 12.6% 5.5%
Eli Erling 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 4.0% 6.1% 7.9% 11.6% 17.4% 21.7% 22.5%
Hayden Johansen 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 2.8% 4.2% 6.5% 8.8% 15.5% 22.9% 32.7%
Sam Childers 5.5% 7.1% 9.3% 9.1% 12.1% 14.0% 14.4% 14.9% 9.7% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.