Race 2A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Braden Vogel 27.4% 24.7% 16.0% 12.5% 8.8% 6.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Jake Weinstein 18.1% 17.2% 17.6% 15.8% 12.6% 8.8% 5.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 10.9% 14.3% 16.7% 14.6% 10.7% 4.2% 1.9%
Timothy Hesse 13.0% 14.2% 16.0% 18.0% 14.6% 9.4% 8.2% 5.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Max Naseef 2.0% 2.3% 2.8% 3.2% 4.7% 6.3% 8.2% 12.7% 24.5% 33.3%
Wyatt Tait 6.1% 5.7% 6.0% 7.1% 10.5% 13.3% 14.9% 17.7% 12.7% 6.0%
Eli Erling 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.7% 6.2% 6.5% 13.2% 19.6% 24.2% 19.0%
Hayden Johansen 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.0% 6.1% 9.5% 13.7% 21.5% 35.0%
Abe Weston 15.5% 16.3% 17.5% 15.0% 13.3% 11.0% 6.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Sam Childers 5.4% 6.9% 8.6% 10.0% 11.0% 15.6% 16.2% 12.1% 10.0% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.