Race 3A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 16.0% 16.3% 18.6% 14.3% 11.9% 9.7% 8.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Braden Vogel 27.6% 20.6% 17.5% 15.3% 9.4% 6.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Naseef 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 5.1% 5.8% 8.5% 13.1% 23.1% 35.3%
Jake Weinstein 16.4% 20.3% 14.9% 16.5% 13.6% 9.4% 5.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Greg Bittle 9.4% 8.5% 10.8% 11.7% 15.6% 13.6% 14.8% 10.5% 4.0% 1.1%
Sam Childers 6.8% 6.3% 8.2% 9.6% 10.4% 14.9% 17.5% 14.3% 8.5% 3.5%
Hayden Johansen 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 3.3% 3.8% 6.1% 9.2% 16.8% 25.5% 30.3%
Timothy Hesse 14.5% 15.3% 14.9% 15.2% 14.1% 12.0% 7.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
Eli Erling 2.6% 2.3% 3.4% 4.0% 5.9% 8.6% 10.5% 16.8% 23.9% 22.0%
Wyatt Tait 4.1% 6.4% 7.1% 7.2% 10.2% 13.9% 16.1% 17.6% 10.9% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.