Race 4A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 18.5% 16.8% 15.8% 14.0% 11.3% 10.3% 8.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Sam Childers 6.5% 5.8% 7.7% 9.6% 11.6% 15.5% 15.4% 13.9% 10.2% 3.8%
Jake Weinstein 16.6% 17.3% 16.8% 16.2% 15.0% 8.9% 4.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Wyatt Tait 4.0% 4.7% 7.3% 8.1% 10.3% 13.0% 18.2% 16.0% 11.9% 6.5%
Timothy Hesse 13.7% 15.5% 16.0% 14.7% 14.6% 11.9% 6.5% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Greg Bittle 9.5% 9.6% 9.1% 12.8% 13.4% 15.1% 14.1% 9.7% 5.1% 1.6%
Braden Vogel 25.7% 24.5% 17.6% 14.0% 10.2% 5.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Max Naseef 1.2% 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 4.1% 6.3% 10.7% 14.3% 22.8% 32.4%
Eli Erling 2.6% 2.1% 4.0% 3.3% 5.2% 8.0% 12.1% 18.4% 22.6% 21.7%
Hayden Johansen 1.7% 1.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.3% 5.8% 8.0% 15.5% 22.9% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.