Race 5A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Braden Vogel 28.9% 23.5% 15.6% 12.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Eli Erling 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 3.2% 5.2% 6.8% 12.2% 17.8% 22.6% 22.5%
Greg Bittle 8.0% 8.9% 10.4% 10.1% 12.9% 17.5% 14.8% 10.6% 5.6% 1.2%
Sam Childers 4.4% 7.7% 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 15.1% 18.5% 12.8% 8.4% 4.2%
Jake Weinstein 18.4% 16.2% 17.8% 16.5% 13.6% 9.0% 4.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Wyatt Tait 5.6% 6.3% 6.0% 8.3% 9.8% 12.1% 16.0% 17.4% 12.4% 6.1%
Timothy Hesse 12.5% 15.4% 15.6% 17.2% 15.2% 10.2% 7.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Max Naseef 1.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.5% 4.7% 5.8% 8.4% 15.4% 23.7% 32.3%
Abe Weston 16.4% 15.7% 16.1% 15.9% 13.3% 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Hayden Johansen 1.6% 1.3% 3.5% 3.2% 4.7% 6.3% 7.9% 15.9% 22.8% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.