Race 6A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Wyatt Tait 5.7% 4.6% 7.5% 8.6% 10.2% 12.2% 16.6% 15.4% 12.5% 6.7%
Braden Vogel 26.5% 21.2% 18.8% 14.9% 9.7% 5.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Hayden Johansen 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 5.4% 5.1% 8.8% 14.8% 23.1% 34.2%
Timothy Hesse 13.4% 14.8% 14.8% 15.8% 15.0% 12.4% 7.7% 4.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Sam Childers 7.0% 7.4% 6.8% 10.6% 11.1% 14.2% 15.9% 14.6% 8.7% 3.7%
Jake Weinstein 19.2% 17.8% 15.4% 15.3% 11.6% 10.3% 6.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Abe Weston 14.4% 18.1% 15.5% 15.6% 13.3% 12.5% 6.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 8.0% 10.3% 11.8% 10.0% 13.5% 14.9% 15.0% 9.5% 5.4% 1.6%
Max Naseef 2.0% 1.6% 3.0% 2.1% 4.5% 6.0% 9.3% 14.9% 24.8% 31.8%
Eli Erling 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 4.1% 5.7% 7.4% 10.7% 19.7% 21.8% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.