Race 7A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 17.7% 17.1% 14.5% 13.9% 14.0% 10.3% 6.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Jake Weinstein 17.3% 18.0% 16.6% 15.9% 13.0% 10.1% 6.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Braden Vogel 25.9% 22.7% 18.8% 13.8% 9.2% 5.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Naseef 1.1% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 7.1% 9.1% 15.2% 22.2% 34.1%
Hayden Johansen 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.4% 4.0% 6.4% 9.4% 13.4% 24.2% 31.2%
Timothy Hesse 16.7% 12.5% 15.3% 15.5% 12.9% 11.7% 8.5% 5.0% 1.0% 0.9%
Greg Bittle 6.6% 9.6% 10.9% 12.2% 15.9% 13.3% 13.3% 11.0% 5.7% 1.5%
Eli Erling 1.9% 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 9.3% 10.5% 16.7% 23.3% 21.8%
Sam Childers 6.5% 6.1% 7.4% 9.7% 12.8% 14.1% 15.1% 15.8% 9.5% 3.0%
Wyatt Tait 4.4% 6.1% 7.2% 8.3% 8.9% 12.1% 18.4% 15.7% 11.8% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.