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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+4.25vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.72vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.66vs Predicted
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4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+6.39vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.02+1.68vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.58+6.07vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.44+1.14vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.29vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06+0.31vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+0.22vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-1.54vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.19-4.73vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.41-7.85vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-0.41-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25North Carolina State University1.7811.6%1st Place
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3.72College of Charleston2.4921.9%1st Place
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5.66Jacksonville University1.5511.0%1st Place
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10.39Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.1%1st Place
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8.2Florida State University0.775.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Miami2.3216.3%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida1.024.9%1st Place
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14.07Embry-Riddle University-0.581.5%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College0.442.5%1st Place
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8.71Florida Institute of Technology0.734.0%1st Place
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11.31Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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8.31Clemson University0.734.9%1st Place
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13.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
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12.02University of North Carolina-0.051.6%1st Place
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13.46University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
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11.27The Citadel0.192.1%1st Place
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9.15Rollins College0.414.2%1st Place
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13.03University of South Carolina-0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.9% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.3% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 25.6% |
| Carter Morin | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 17.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.