Race 8A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 18.3% 17.0% 14.8% 13.7% 12.8% 11.0% 7.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Greg Bittle 8.9% 8.0% 11.7% 11.6% 13.9% 14.4% 13.8% 10.9% 5.1% 1.7%
Jake Weinstein 17.1% 17.5% 16.3% 16.1% 14.7% 9.4% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Max Naseef 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.7% 4.4% 5.1% 10.5% 14.6% 23.1% 34.0%
Timothy Hesse 14.0% 15.0% 15.7% 14.9% 15.4% 11.1% 7.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Braden Vogel 27.8% 23.1% 17.2% 14.9% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Childers 4.5% 7.1% 7.7% 10.6% 12.2% 15.6% 15.4% 14.3% 9.3% 3.3%
Wyatt Tait 4.6% 5.6% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 12.4% 16.4% 17.0% 11.7% 6.6%
Eli Erling 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 5.8% 9.0% 11.1% 17.5% 24.1% 20.6%
Hayden Johansen 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 6.8% 9.9% 14.5% 22.5% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.