Race 9A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abe Weston 17.9% 15.3% 15.9% 13.6% 13.6% 12.0% 6.5% 3.9% 0.8% 0.5%
Timothy Hesse 13.6% 14.9% 15.4% 15.4% 13.4% 12.2% 7.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Greg Bittle 6.8% 9.6% 10.2% 11.0% 14.6% 15.2% 15.6% 10.0% 5.7% 1.3%
Sam Childers 5.2% 5.2% 9.5% 11.0% 13.2% 12.1% 15.8% 16.0% 8.9% 3.1%
Braden Vogel 27.9% 24.9% 16.9% 12.5% 8.9% 5.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Hayden Johansen 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 3.3% 5.2% 5.0% 8.5% 15.6% 22.8% 32.3%
Wyatt Tait 3.9% 4.7% 6.5% 9.7% 7.9% 15.2% 17.2% 16.5% 12.2% 6.2%
Jake Weinstein 18.5% 18.6% 16.9% 16.3% 12.8% 8.2% 4.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Max Naseef 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 3.7% 4.3% 6.6% 9.8% 13.0% 23.0% 33.8%
Eli Erling 2.3% 2.4% 3.9% 3.5% 6.1% 8.4% 12.2% 15.2% 23.8% 22.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.