Race 10A

mcsa-open-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Timothy Hesse 15.9% 15.0% 15.9% 13.5% 12.2% 13.1% 7.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.8%
Braden Vogel 27.2% 22.6% 18.1% 12.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jake Weinstein 16.7% 18.2% 16.6% 14.4% 15.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 7.8% 8.5% 9.8% 15.0% 14.0% 14.4% 14.4% 8.9% 5.9% 1.3%
Abe Weston 15.3% 17.3% 15.9% 17.5% 12.9% 9.1% 6.2% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Wyatt Tait 6.1% 5.6% 5.9% 8.0% 9.9% 13.2% 16.0% 16.7% 13.0% 5.6%
Hayden Johansen 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 6.7% 9.5% 17.3% 22.1% 32.5%
Sam Childers 5.4% 7.1% 9.1% 9.2% 12.6% 13.9% 16.0% 14.3% 8.7% 3.7%
Max Naseef 2.0% 1.4% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 6.5% 9.5% 13.3% 24.9% 32.8%
Eli Erling 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 3.4% 6.0% 8.4% 12.3% 16.3% 22.1% 22.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.