Race 2B

mcsa-open-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Quinn Kaiser 36.4% 25.0% 16.1% 11.1% 5.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Jack Homa 16.8% 19.3% 18.4% 16.7% 13.9% 7.5% 5.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Payden Pittman 13.0% 12.5% 16.3% 16.9% 16.4% 13.0% 7.2% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Nicholas Chesemore 15.2% 18.1% 19.9% 16.9% 13.3% 10.0% 3.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 5.8% 7.7% 8.5% 9.4% 13.3% 17.9% 16.1% 13.6% 5.5% 2.2%
Isaac Sparber 3.5% 4.4% 3.9% 5.1% 8.3% 10.5% 17.6% 18.7% 18.2% 9.8%
Jacob Hsia 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 4.8% 5.9% 8.8% 13.9% 21.5% 22.7% 16.4%
Nok In Chan 5.5% 8.2% 10.2% 13.1% 15.1% 15.1% 15.0% 10.7% 5.8% 1.3%
James Klancnik 1.7% 1.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.9% 10.1% 12.7% 17.5% 27.1% 16.9%
John Riordan 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 3.4% 3.0% 7.5% 10.2% 18.4% 53.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.