Race 3B

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Quinn Kaiser 34.7% 26.8% 16.1% 11.0% 6.1% 2.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Homa 17.4% 19.3% 18.4% 17.4% 11.8% 9.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Payden Pittman 13.5% 11.6% 15.5% 17.5% 16.1% 12.9% 7.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Chesemore 15.9% 18.5% 18.0% 17.5% 15.0% 7.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
James Klancnik 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.8% 6.4% 8.1% 12.1% 16.8% 24.7% 18.9%
Nok In Chan 7.1% 7.7% 9.3% 11.0% 14.4% 16.8% 15.5% 11.1% 5.0% 2.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.8% 7.2% 7.8% 9.1% 14.7% 17.1% 17.8% 12.3% 7.1% 2.1%
John Riordan 0.4% 0.9% 2.2% 1.8% 2.0% 4.2% 8.1% 10.5% 18.0% 51.9%
Isaac Sparber 2.5% 3.1% 5.6% 4.6% 7.8% 12.6% 16.0% 21.8% 16.6% 9.4%
Jacob Hsia 1.5% 2.0% 4.0% 5.3% 5.7% 9.0% 10.5% 20.3% 26.1% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.