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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+5.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.49vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.83+4.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+3.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.59vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.77vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.61-3.00vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.54+0.14vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.76-2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.93+0.42vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-4.54vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-3.72vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.29-3.91vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.79-3.23vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.80-4.17vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.85Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.25Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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5.0College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.28Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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11.83University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Morgan Watters | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Allison Blecher | 16.1% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 10.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% |
| Jamie Curran | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.