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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+3.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy-0.69+12.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.01+5.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.85+2.78vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+2.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+2.03vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86-0.58vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+1.22vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.73-2.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+1.79vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+0.59vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.58-1.82vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.48-3.00vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.31-7.01vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.25vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.55-1.99vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.62vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.12-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Yale University2.2519.0%1st Place
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14.18U. S. Naval Academy-0.691.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.014.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University1.859.0%1st Place
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7.23College of Charleston1.267.8%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University1.185.3%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University1.869.7%1st Place
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9.22George Washington University1.074.3%1st Place
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6.51Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont0.242.4%1st Place
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10.18Rollins College0.584.0%1st Place
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10.0Jacksonville University0.483.5%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University1.318.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Rhode Island-0.201.7%1st Place
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14.01Northwestern University-0.551.3%1st Place
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12.38Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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10.06Clemson University0.125.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 19.0% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 28.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 23.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| Ashton Loring | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.