← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.32+3.38vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.49+1.81vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.41+6.31vs Predicted
-
4Duke University0.06+7.42vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.78+0.15vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.02+2.56vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel0.19+4.13vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University0.73+0.31vs Predicted
-
9University of Central Florida-0.46+4.56vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.33vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College0.44-1.03vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.55-6.22vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+0.17vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University0.77-5.68vs Predicted
-
15Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-4.69vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-0.05-3.99vs Predicted
-
17Embry-Riddle University-0.58-2.91vs Predicted
-
18University of South Carolina-0.41-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.38University of Miami2.3215.8%1st Place
-
3.81College of Charleston2.4920.7%1st Place
-
9.31Rollins College0.414.2%1st Place
-
11.42Duke University0.062.5%1st Place
-
5.15North Carolina State University1.7812.2%1st Place
-
8.56University of South Florida1.025.1%1st Place
-
11.13The Citadel0.192.4%1st Place
-
8.31Clemson University0.734.1%1st Place
-
13.56University of Central Florida-0.461.2%1st Place
-
8.67Florida Institute of Technology0.735.1%1st Place
-
9.97Eckerd College0.443.2%1st Place
-
5.78Jacksonville University1.5510.7%1st Place
-
13.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
-
8.32Florida State University0.775.0%1st Place
-
10.31Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.5%1st Place
-
12.01University of North Carolina-0.051.6%1st Place
-
14.09Embry-Riddle University-0.581.1%1st Place
-
13.06University of South Carolina-0.411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.7% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Adam Larson | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 19.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Carter Morin | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Matthew King | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 24.6% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.