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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.78+2.47vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.73vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.26+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.19+0.66vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-2.34vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-1.21vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.75vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.61-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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3.73Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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5.45Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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2.66Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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5.25Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.98Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 18.0% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.2% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 22.2% |
| William Denker | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 31.2% | 24.5% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| William Delong | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.