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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.19+2.66vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.68vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78-0.41vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.26+0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-1.20vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.61-0.88vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.66University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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3.68Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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3.59Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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5.47Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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6.12Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.06Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 31.8% | 24.7% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| William Denker | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 9.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.6% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Jett Lindelof | 17.1% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| William Delong | 9.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 37.3% |
| Jane Marvin | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.