← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.31+1.63vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.19+2.65vs Predicted
-
3Bates College0.78+0.53vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.69-0.25vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-1.21vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-0.61-0.88vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-0.26-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
-
4.65University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
-
3.53Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
-
3.75Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
-
5.2Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
-
4.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
-
6.12Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
5.34Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 31.5% | 25.3% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| William Denker | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 8.9% |
| Jett Lindelof | 18.0% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.5% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| William Delong | 9.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 37.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.