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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.19+2.63vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.78+0.55vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-0.14vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.85vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.61-0.89vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.26-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.63University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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3.55Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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3.74Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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5.15Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.11Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.35Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 31.7% | 25.3% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Denker | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 8.9% |
| Jett Lindelof | 17.7% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.9% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| William Delong | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 37.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.