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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.64vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.26+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.81vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78-0.43vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69-1.30vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.83vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.61-0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.19-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.5Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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3.57Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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3.7Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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5.17Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.09Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 30.8% | 25.7% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 21.4% |
| William Delong | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 11.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 17.1% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.8% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 36.7% |
| William Denker | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.