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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.64vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.78+1.58vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31-0.37vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+1.23vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.26+0.47vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.61+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.19-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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3.58Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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2.63Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.23Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.47Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.01Brandeis University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 15.2% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 16.8% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 31.8% | 23.9% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 20.8% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 35.5% |
| William Denker | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 9.8% |
| William Delong | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.