← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College0.78+2.50vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+3.23vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.69+0.70vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.31-1.33vs Predicted
-
5Brandeis University-0.61+1.10vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.26-0.59vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-2.13vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.19-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.5Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
-
5.23Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
-
3.7Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
-
2.67Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
-
6.1Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
5.41Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
-
4.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 17.3% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.4% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 28.9% | 25.6% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 34.3% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 21.5% |
| William Delong | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% |
| William Denker | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.