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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+2.35vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+5.26vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.17vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+4.16vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+5.36vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.55-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.02+0.56vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+1.43vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.73-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+2.05vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-0.66vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.30vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58+0.05vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.44-5.00vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.05-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.46-3.46vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-0.41-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83College of Charleston2.4919.9%1st Place
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4.35University of Miami2.3216.7%1st Place
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8.26Florida State University0.775.5%1st Place
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5.17North Carolina State University1.7812.2%1st Place
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9.16Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
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11.36The Citadel0.192.4%1st Place
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5.67Jacksonville University1.5510.0%1st Place
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8.56University of South Florida1.024.5%1st Place
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10.43Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.0%1st Place
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8.31Clemson University0.734.9%1st Place
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13.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
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11.34Duke University0.062.6%1st Place
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8.7Florida Institute of Technology0.734.6%1st Place
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14.05Embry-Riddle University-0.581.0%1st Place
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10.0Eckerd College0.443.4%1st Place
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12.28University of North Carolina-0.051.4%1st Place
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13.54University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
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12.94University of South Carolina-0.411.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 19.9% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Matthew King | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 26.2% |
| Carter Morin | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 18.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.