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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.78+2.51vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.72vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+2.18vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.61+2.04vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.26+0.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-3.33vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.19-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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3.72Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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5.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.04Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.48Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.67Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 18.2% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.1% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Jane Marvin | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 35.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 30.2% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| William Delong | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
| William Denker | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.