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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.42vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.50+2.53vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.37vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-0.61vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.93+0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.28-2.80vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.04-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.53Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.72Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.39Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.64Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.73Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 34.6% | 26.1% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 4.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 26.5% | 24.4% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 3.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 27.0% | 41.2% |
| Ocean Smith | 10.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Miles Laker | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 28.9% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.