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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.44vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+2.37vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.37vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.50-0.41vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.93+0.63vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-2.04-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.28-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.37Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.72Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.59Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.63Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.77Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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4.1University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 33.6% | 27.5% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 2.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 26.6% | 25.4% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 3.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 27.0% | 39.8% |
| Miles Laker | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 26.9% | 46.3% |
| Ocean Smith | 10.1% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.