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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+2.34vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.28+0.19vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.50-0.44vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.93+0.64vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-2.59vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.04-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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2.71Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.19University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.56Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.64Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.41Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.74Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 34.5% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 26.3% | 24.8% | 20.8% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ocean Smith | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Harrison Nash | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 26.3% | 41.6% |
| Griffin Stolp | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 4.0% |
| Miles Laker | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 29.1% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.