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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.42vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.35vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.28-0.84vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.50-1.50vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-2.04-0.22vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.93-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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2.76Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.4Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.5Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.78Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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6.62Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 33.7% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 26.1% | 25.0% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 10.6% | 3.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 3.2% |
| Ocean Smith | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Miles Laker | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 25.0% | 48.0% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 14.1% | 29.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.