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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.43vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+2.37vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.39vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.50-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.28-1.90vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.93-0.33vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.04-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.37Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.75Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.56Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.73Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 34.5% | 25.8% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.5% | 25.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 3.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 13.4% | 3.3% |
| Ocean Smith | 11.4% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.9% | 43.6% |
| Miles Laker | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 27.6% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.