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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont-0.28+3.09vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+0.74vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+1.37vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.82-1.50vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.50-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.67vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-2.04-0.20vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.93-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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2.74Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.37Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.5Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.55Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.8Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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6.62Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean Smith | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 26.8% | 24.5% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 9.9% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 3.3% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 31.5% | 25.5% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 3.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Miles Laker | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 24.5% | 49.1% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 30.4% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.