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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.28+1.15vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.50+0.53vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-0.60vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62-3.27vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.93-0.33vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.04-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.53Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.4Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.73Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.74Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 33.2% | 26.3% | 19.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Ocean Smith | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 3.8% |
| Griffin Stolp | 9.0% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.2% | 26.7% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 26.8% | 43.4% |
| Miles Laker | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 27.0% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.