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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.43vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+2.37vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.28+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.59vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.93+0.63vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-2.04-0.23vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.50-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.37Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.73Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.2University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.63Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.77Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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4.47Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 34.0% | 27.5% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 2.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 26.4% | 25.2% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ocean Smith | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 3.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 40.0% |
| Miles Laker | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 27.1% | 46.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.