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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.26vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-1.02vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-0.32vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.41-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.1University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.68Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.52University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 79.0% | 16.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.2% | 30.0% | 27.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.7% | 19.7% | 25.5% | 21.0% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.5% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 23.7% | 23.5% | 13.2% |
| Annika Burns | 0.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 40.7% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.9% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 9.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 28.5% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.