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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.46+10.40vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.25vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02+2.50vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.74vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06+3.21vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41+0.27vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.44+0.03vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.77-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.41+1.14vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.19-1.61vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58+0.07vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.05-2.95vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.73-7.68vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-3.72vs Predicted
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18Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of Miami2.3218.3%1st Place
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3.74College of Charleston2.4923.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Central Florida-0.461.3%1st Place
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5.25North Carolina State University1.7810.7%1st Place
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5.68Jacksonville University1.559.6%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida1.024.5%1st Place
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8.74Florida Institute of Technology0.733.6%1st Place
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11.21Duke University0.061.7%1st Place
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9.27Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
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10.03Eckerd College0.442.9%1st Place
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8.29Florida State University0.775.3%1st Place
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13.14University of South Carolina-0.411.9%1st Place
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11.39The Citadel0.192.5%1st Place
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14.07Embry-Riddle University-0.580.9%1st Place
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12.05University of North Carolina-0.051.6%1st Place
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8.32Clemson University0.734.0%1st Place
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13.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
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10.31Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 23.0% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 17.7% |
| Adam Larson | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Carter Morin | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 15.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 25.3% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.