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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.26vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.87vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.35vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.1University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.68University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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6.63University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.58Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 78.6% | 16.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.7% | 31.7% | 26.7% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.7% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 19.9% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.5% | 19.6% | 23.9% | 23.6% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 37.5% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.9% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 7.3% |
| Annika Burns | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 24.5% | 41.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 21.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.