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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.26vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64-0.32vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+1.64vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.41-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.08University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.68University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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6.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.63Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 78.4% | 17.2% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.9% | 31.3% | 27.2% | 18.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.6% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.6% | 19.6% | 24.3% | 22.7% | 17.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Annika Burns | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 25.8% | 39.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 15.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 8.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 17.2% | 27.6% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.