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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.84vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.36vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.27Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.67University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.63Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 78.1% | 17.1% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 19.9% | 25.0% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.3% | 30.1% | 28.4% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.7% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 20.7% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 6.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 14.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 25.2% | 40.7% |
| Annika Burns | 0.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 27.1% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.