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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.26vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.97vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.41vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.11University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.59University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.58Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 78.7% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.3% | 30.2% | 26.8% | 18.6% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.9% | 18.9% | 25.4% | 22.2% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 7.5% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.7% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Annika Burns | 0.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 24.9% | 38.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 25.1% | 40.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 22.4% | 22.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.