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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.82vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.38vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.62University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.58Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 78.7% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.5% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 23.3% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.5% | 30.2% | 27.1% | 19.6% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 20.3% | 23.4% | 23.8% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.4% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 6.8% |
| Annika Burns | 0.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 25.1% | 39.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 26.5% | 40.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 24.3% | 21.6% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.