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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.64+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+1.29vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39-1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.60vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.38vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.41-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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1.22Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.62Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 5.0% | 20.3% | 26.2% | 22.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.5% | 28.0% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 81.8% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 2.7% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.8% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 16.4% | 27.4% | 37.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 14.2% |
| Annika Burns | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 25.3% | 40.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.