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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.25vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.61vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.39vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.41-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.25Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.27University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.61Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 79.2% | 16.7% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.8% | 21.5% | 24.6% | 21.5% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.8% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.9% | 26.9% | 25.6% | 22.3% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 27.2% | 37.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 21.2% | 14.3% |
| Annika Burns | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 25.2% | 40.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.