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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.16-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.89vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.38vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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1.77Stanford University2.160.5%1st Place
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3.54University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.59Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.62University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 18.2% | 28.0% | 22.1% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alice Schmid | 52.4% | 27.0% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 11.1% | 17.3% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.4% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 6.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 14.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 25.4% | 40.6% |
| Annika Burns | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 17.5% | 27.0% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.