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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.28vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.60+2.99vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.40-0.87vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.77-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.50-2.40vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28Stanford University2.580.8%1st Place
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4.99University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.54Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.13University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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6.73Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.19University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 77.9% | 17.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 6.7% |
| Malia Johnson | 8.5% | 31.7% | 28.0% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 26.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.2% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.