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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.26vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.60+1.83vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.01+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.77-0.92vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.07vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Stanford University2.580.8%1st Place
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3.34University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.44Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.93Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.17University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 79.7% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 5.9% | 30.9% | 25.3% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.5% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 25.6% | 26.3% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 18.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.